Once the global estate market of like a raging fire is falling overnight in show “ the alarmingly dangerous that answers the ” 3 years ago one act. A few days ago, international estate research and travel of couplet of quantity of service orgnaization intermediate announce report of newest global capital flow to make clear, 2008 first half of the year, global commerce estate trades on quantity comparing year the corresponding period drops 41% , investment is only 236 billion dollar, retreat almost return 2005 the level first half of the year. The personage inside course of study predicts, because credit market stability still needs time one year, in future motive of house price wave is being used to be able to have investment inside 1 year is a the main chance.

Intermediate measures couplet travel report to say, 2007 first half of the year, global commerce estate trades the quantity ever achieved the history top level, but the corresponding period dropped however first half of the year 2008 41% , if “ is calculated according to local money, dropping range is bigger, because be in 2008 first half of the year, the dollar fell on average to the exchange rate of world main currency 9% . ” report says, 2008 first half of the year, be in China and Japan, grew respectively with dollar calculative investment 3% with 8% . But if came 8 years first half of the year 2007 suppose the exchange rate during first half of the year is fixed, the investment amount of two countries market decreased actually 5% .

Intermediate measures chief inspector of market of capital of couplet travel Asia to overcome fatigue to think, cause the main reason that makes easy quantity drop to ascribe to of global credit market not stable, “ loan channel is decreasing, and leasehold cost is raising however. ” overcomes fatigue to say, the person that look antecedent condition is to buy a house does not wish or assume the house price level 2007 feebly, and house property business also does not want to reduce expectation cost.

Gram fatigue expresses, as global commerce guaranty assures of the break downing of security market and leasehold cost rise generally, before the investor with those financing higher proportion exited estate market in succession.

A year when look into future, gram fatigue thinks, the stability of credit market estimates the time that still needs one year. “ is during this, sell by force of what capital pressure falls can increase somewhat. ” he thinks, the wave motion of house price also brought an opportunity for investor at the same time. According to intermediate the travel that measure couplet predicts, the investment of market of global commerce estate will drop compared to the same period 2008 at least 35% .